“The Chinese-Russian military alliance is only what you see above the surface,” Robert Kaplan, senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, a think tank focused on U.S. national security issues, told CNBC on the sidelines of the Singapore Summit on Friday.
“What’s below the surface is serious geopolitical competition between China and Russia,” he said.
Beijing’s economic and commercial activities in Moscow’s backyard — Central Asia, the Russian Far East and the Arctic — have long been a threat to Putin. But his government has been unable to compete due to its own economic problems at home and in 2014, Moscow accelerated its pivot towards Beijing after coming under western sanctions over its annexation of Crimea.
While Putin and Xi seek to reconcile their differences, as reflected by their public show of drinking vodka and eating caviar together at this week’s Eastern Economic Forum, deep-seated rivalry remains.
The bilateral relationship is more of an entente, a basic agreement about the fundamentals of world order supported by common interests, rather than an alliance, Dmitri Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, said in a note this week. Moscow’s concerns about Xi’s Belt and Road Initiative are still at play, Trenin suggested.